GLOBAL TRENDSeBook

 
GLOBAL TRENDS
 
 
 
 
 


Geographical patterns

 


Virtually all the major geographical regions registered record inflows as well as outflows in 2007. However, higher growth rates of FDI inflows to developed countries than to developing countries reduced the share of developing countries in FDI inflows from 29% to 27% (annex table B.1).


Regarding outflows, the share of developing countries also declined from 16% to 13%. By contrast, the share of economies in transition (i.e. South-East Europe and CIS) rose for both inflows and outflows.


Developed countries


FDI inflows into developed countries grew once again in 2007, for the fourth consecutive year, to reach $1,248 billion - 33% more than in 2006 (figure I.6; annex table B.1). Flows to the United Kingdom, France and the Netherlands were particularly buoyant.


The United States maintained its position as the largest FDI recipient country, while the European Union (EU) as a whole continued to be the largest host region within the developed country group, attracting almost two thirds of total FDI inflows to the group in 2007. The increase in FDI inflows to developed countries reflected relatively strong economic growth in those countries in 2007. Continued robust corporate profits and rising equity prices further stimulated cross-border M&As, particularly in the first half of 2007.


Outflows from developed countries in 2007 grew even faster than their inflows. They increased by 56% to the unprecedented level of $1,692 billion, exceeding inflows by $445 billion. The continued upswing of outward FDI was mainly driven by greater financial resources from high corporate profits (figure I.2).


While the United States maintained its position as the largest source of FDI in 2007, outflows from the EU countries nearly doubled, to $1,142 billion. The various risks prevailing in the world economy are likely to influence FDI flows to and from developed countries in 2008.


High and volatile commodity prices and food prices may cause inflationary pressures, and a further tightening of financial market conditions cannot be excluded. The growing probability of a recession in the United States and uncertainties about its global repercussions may cause investors to adopt a more cautious attitude (see section E below). These considerations point to a dimming of FDI prospects in developed countries.


Developing countries


FDI inflows into developing countries rose by 21% (figure I.6), to reach a new record level of $500 billion (chapter II). Those to least developed countries (LDCs) alone reached $13 billion, a 4% increase over the previous year.


. In Africa, FDI inflows in 2007 rose to a historic high of $53 billion. The inflows were supported by a continuing boom in global commodity markets. Cross-border M&As in the extraction industries and related services continued to be a significant source of FDI, in addition to new inbound M&A deals in the banking industry. Nigeria, Egypt, South Africa and Morocco were the largest recipients (chapter II). These cases may illustrate a trend towards greater diversification of inflows in some countries, away from traditional sectors (e.g. oil, gas and other primary commodities).




© 2008